Establishment and Evaluation of Recurrent Event Early Alarming Model for Stable Coronary Heart Disease
Abstract：Objective To establish a recurrent event early alarming model for stable coronary heart disease (CHD).Methods Three hundreds and ninety seven patients with stable CHD followed up for one year were enrolled.All patients were treated with acute cardiovascular event(ACE).The clinical data were collected and analyzed.Results Early alarming model:Logit(p)=-2.319 0.779 ApoA1-0.978 physical exercises +0.908 stroke history+0.877 hs CRP +0.797 suffocating.Then the effectiveness of the model was verified by ROC curve,and the results showed that AUC=0.744,sensitivity was 81.40%,specificity was 62.20%,Youden index=0.436,positive likelihood=2.153,negative likelihood=0.29,positive predictive=0.218,negative predictive=0.964.Conclusion A recurrent event early alarming model for stable CHD was established to predict the risk of stable CHD patient with ACE within one year.
Keywords：stable coronary heart diseaseacute cardiovascular eventalarming modelROC curve
Publication Date：2014-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：3( 777-778,779 )