Study on the correlation between the Reticulitermes swarming and meteorological factors in Changsha City
WANG Xuan
BIAN Yifei
LIU Yanqing
QIU Jingya
Abstract：Objective To conduct an investigation on the characteristics of the Reticulitermes swarming around buildings in the alternating seasons of winter and spring in Changsha City in the past three years,and analyze the influencing factors based on the daily meteorological data during the same period,providing a theoretical basis for the monitoring,early warning and precise prevention and control of the Reticulitermes swarming in Changsha City.Methods Dividing the Reticulitermes into groups based on the presence of swarming,testing the statistical differences between the groups through univariate analysis,analyzing the main meteorological factors affecting the Reticulitermes swarming by binary Logistic regression,and defining the optimal prediction threshold with ROC.Results The time when the Reticulitermes swarming began each year in Changsha City was markedly related to three meteorological elements:temperature,rainfall,and relative humidity,and relevant changes occurred in correspondence with the interval values of these meteorological elements.Conclusion Forecasts can be carried out in line with the interval value divided by meteorological elements,and the key period can be utilized to control Reticulitermes.
Keywords：Reticulitermes swarmingmeteorological factorsbinary Logistic regressionROC
Publication Date：2024-06-20
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：4( 286-289 )