Predictive value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T for death in old patients with stable coronary heart disease
Zhang Shaojing
Wang Qing
Fu Linlin
Cui Yunjing
Zhai Xueliang
Abstract：Objective To investigate the value of hs-cTnT in predicting all-cause death in the elderly with SCAD.Methods A prospective cohort observation study was conducted on 274 old adults with SCAD hospitalized in our department from January 2016 to January 2019.Their hs-cTnT level was measured,and according to the results,they were divided into lower(≤13.0 ng/L,94 cases),middle(14.0-22.0 ng/L,94 cases)and upper(≥23.0 ng/L,86 cases)tertile groups.The general clinical data were compared among the three groups.Kaplan-Meier survival curve was drawn to analyze the survival differences among groups.Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was applied to identify risk factors for mortality.ROC curve analysis was applied to evaluate the predictive value of hs-cTnT for all-cause mortality.Results During a me-dian follow-up period of 32 months,62(22.63％)patients died among the 274 patients,account-ing for 75.8％dying of non-cardiovascular diseases.There were statistically differences in the three tertile groups in terms of age,male ratio,proportions of hypertension,chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and chronic kidney disease,number of comorbidities,estimated glomerular fil-tration rate,albumin and hemoglobin levels,left ventricular ejection fraction,left ventricular mass index,and mortality rate(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).COX proportional hazards regression model showed the upper tertile group had significantly lower cumulative survival rate than the middle and lower tertile groups(Plog rank＜0.01).Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis indicated that hs-cTnT≥23.0 ng/L level was still a risk factor for death in both model 2(HR=3.749,95％CI:1.703-8.256,P=0.001)and model 3(HR=2.990,95％CI:1.358-6.581,P=0.007).ROC curve analysis revealed that the AUC value of hs-cTnT level in predicting death was 0.736,with a cut-off value of 25 ng/L.Conclusion For elderly SCAD patients,despite the existence of multiple comorbidities and the priority of non-cardiovascular death,hs-cTnT,a marker reflecting myocar-dial injury,is still a predictor for risk of death in the population.
Keywords：coronary diseasetroponin Tregression analysisKaplan-Meier estimate
Publication Date：2025-07-15
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：4( 881-884 )