Predictive value of electrocardiogram score for MACE in elderly patients with coronary heart disease complicated with atrial fibrillation
Fan Xinjun
Zhao Sheng
Rong Li
Gao Yanlin
Cheng Wei
Abstract：Objective To investigate the predictive value of morphology-voltage-P wave duration(MVP)electrocardiogram(ECG)score for major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)in elder-ly patients with coronary heart disease(CHD)and atrial fibrillation(AF)within 1 year after treatment.Methods A total of 122 elderly CHD patients with concomitant AF admitted to our department from August 2020 to June 2023 were enrolled,and divided into MACE group(n=31)and non-MACE group(n=91)according to whether MACE occurred within 1 year after treat-ment.Their clinical data,treatment,laboratory indicators and ECG data were collected and ana-lyzed.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors of MACE,and ROC curve was drawn to calculate the AUC value of MVP ECG score in the prediction of MACE occurrence.Results The MACE group had significantly higher Gensini score,C-reactive protein(CRP)level and MVP ECG score,and lower LVEF value than the non-MACE group(P＜0.01).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Gensini score,CRP,LVEF and MVP ECG score were the influencing factors for MACE in elderly CHD patients complicated with AF within 1 year after treatment(OR=4.562,95％CI:1.881-11.064,P=0.001;OR=5.127,95％CI:1.865-14.096,P=0.001;OR=0.998,95％CI:0.687-0.959,P=0.012;OR=4.829,95％CI:2.343-9.953,P=0.001).ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC value of MVP ECG score in predic-ting MACE within 1 year after treatment in these patients was 0.820,and the optimal cut-off val-ue was 3,the sensitivity was 77.78％and the specificity was 61.00％.Conclusion MVP ECG score has a good predictive value for MACE in elderly CHD patients with concomitant AF within 1 year after treatment.
Keywords：coronary diseaseatrial fibrillationforecastingelectrocardiographymajor adverse car-diac events
Publication Date：2024-11-15
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：4( 1292-1295 )