Construction of a nomogram model for recurrence of persistent AF after radiofrequency ablation based on imaging and serological features
Pan Qiangqiang
Lu Jiazhong
Lü Xincai
Ran Hui
Zhang Biao
Rong Chengzhen
Zhang Jingang
Wang Hongju
Abstract：Objective To investigate the risk factors for recurrence of persistent atrial fibrillation(AF)after radiofrequency ablation with circumferential pulmonary vein isolation+top line+back wall line based on the features of cardiac imaging and serum biomarkers,and then to establish a nomogram risk prediction model.Methods A total of 172 patients with persistent AF admitted to our hospital from June 2022 to September 2023 were enrolled and then according to recurrence or not in 6 months after surgery,they were divided into the recurrence group(51 cases)and the non-ecurrence group(121 cases).Before surgery,routine electrocardiography,and transthoracic and esophageal echocardiography were performed,while blood routine indicators and related biochemi-cal indicators were measured.All patients underwent radiofrequency ablation with circumferential pulmonary vein isolation,top line,and back wall line.They were followed up for 6 months after surgery.Binary logistic analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence,and then a nomogram risk prediction model was constructed and its diagnostic per-formance was evaluated.Results Lager LAD,higher LAVI,neutrophil count and NLR,and ele-vated BNP and CRP levels,while lower LAAFV,LAAEV and LAAEF were observed in the re-current group than those in the non-recurrent group(P＜0.01).Binary logistic regression analysis showed that elevated LAVI(OR=1.160,95％CI:1.006-1.337),decreased LAAEV(OR=0.740,95％CI:0.583-0.940),decreased LAAEF(OR=0.608,95％CI:0.422-0.877),elevated BNP(OR=1.017,95％CI:1.004-1.030),and higher NLR(OR=10.116,95％CI:1.316-77.755)were independent risk factors for recurrence after radiofrequency ablation of pulmonary vein isolation+top line+posterior wall line in persistent AF patients(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).The AUC value of the nomogram model constructed with LAVI,LAAEV,LAAEF,BNP and NLR in predicting postop-erative recurrence was 0.889(95％CI:0.833-0.932).Conclusion The cardiac imaging parame-ters LAVI,LAAEV and LAAEF,and serum biomarkers BNP and NLR are closely associated with postoperative recurrence of persistent AF in patients after radiofrequency ablation with cir-cumferential pulmonary vein isolation+top line+back wall line,and the relevant nomogram mod-el has better diagnostic value for postoperative recurrence.
Keywords：atrial fibrillationradiofrequency ablationrecurrencenomogramsserum biomarkers
Publication Date：2024-08-15
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：6( 876-881 )