Overview of uncertainty assessment on karst collapse prediction
WAN Jiawei
ZHANG Qinjun
SHI Shujing
Abstract：This paper reviews the development and the most recent progress of the uncertainty assessment on karst collapse prediction and summarizes the general approach of assessment.It is indicated that the assess-ment must be based on the geological background and actual condition in the evaluation area and the method-ologyof"from qualitative to quantitative"should be followed.The general approach consists of 3 steps,in-cluding analyzing the influencing factors,selecting evaluation components and then constructing the evalua-tion model.This paper also elaborates on how to implement these steps.In this paper,comparative analysis on features,core steps,advantages,disadvantages among fuzzy model,grey-fuzzy model,information mod-el,weights of evidence model,ANN model,SVM model are conducted,which provides a reference for model selection.Further more,it is pointed out that in the current uncertainty assessment on karst collapse predic-tion in China is very behind,which caused many problems in this field.
Keywords：karst collapseuncertainty assessmentpredictionevaluation factorevaluation model
Publication Date：2017-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：6( 764-769 )