DOI: 10.7664/CHE20170712
Time Series Analysis of the Effect on Inpatient Cost in Capitation Payment Reform
Abstract：Objective:To evaluate the effect of inpatient cost under the background of the capitation payment reform in new rural cooperative medical system (NCMS).Methods:It performed retrospective time series analysis of the inpatient cost in NCMS fund by analyzing monthly data in Pudong New Area from the year of 2011 to the year of 2015.Results:In 40 months after the policy intervention,the mean insured inpatient cost per visit (11 176.95 yuan) was increased by 34.99％ than 20 months before (RMB 8279.66).The mean forecasted inpatient cost per visit (12 836.63 yuan) was higher than observed values (P＜0.001).It was statistically the same between the observed and forecasted number of inpatients of the corresponding period by simple seasonal model (P＞0.05).Conclusion:3 years after the policy intervention in NCMS,it was effective in cost curb of expenses excessive growth for inpatients,and did not inhibit the normal release of their medical service demand.
Keywords：new rural cooperative medical systempayment reformcapitation paymentinpatient costtime series analysis
Publication Date：2017-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：3( 44-46 )