DOI: 10.7664/CHE20170710
Time Series Analysis of Capitation Payment Reform Effect for Outpatient Cost
Abstract：Objective:To evaluate the effect of outpatient cost under the background of the capitation payment policy intervention under new rural cooperative medical system (NCMS).Methods:It performed retrospective time series analysis of the outpatient cost in NCMS fund by examining monthly data acquired from 2011 to 2015,in Pudong New Area.Results:In 40 months after the intervention,the mean insured outpatient cost per visit (90.37 yuan) wasincreased by 6.34％ than 20 months before (84.98 yuan).The mean forecasted outpatient cost per visit (102.00 yuan) by Winters' additive models was higher than observed values (P＜0.001).And there was no statistical difference between the observed and forecasted number of insured outpatients of the corresponding period by simple seasonal model (P＞0.05).Conclusion:3 years after the capitation payment reform,it was very effective in controlling insured outpatient cost per visit and did not inhibit the normal release of service demand.
Keywords：new rural cooperative medical systempayment reformcapitation paymentoutpatient costtime series analysis
Publication Date：2017-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：3( 38-40 )