DOI: 10.7664/CHE20140218
The Prediction on the Medical Cost under Aging Population and Economic Growth
WEN Xiao-ni
LIU Peng
YANG Nan-kun
Abstract：In next several decades, medical costs are going to increase significantly with the obvious increase of ageing population. The development trend of medical cost was predicted on the basis of over-cost growth model. The over-cost growth and the influencing factors of population and economics were first used to construct the time series model, then Monte Carlo approach was used in random simulation and finally the prediction result of medical cost in China was received.
Keywords：aging populationmedical costeconomic growthprediction
Publication Date：2014-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：4( 56-59 )