DOI: 10.7664/CHE20140202
Projection on Total Health Expenditure Based on the Goal of 12th Five Year Plan of Health Service Development
Abstract：Objective: Specific goals of total health expenditure related indicators were proposed in 12th Five Year Plan of Health Service Development. It is necessary to conduct projection analysis for there is a challenge to achieve the goals according to the trends of the changes of total health expenditure related indicators in recent years. Methods: Using the national time serials data of total health expenditure, combining the goals of 12th Five Year Plan of Health System Reform to project China total health expenditure in 2015 based on the international strategy of health financing and the status of government health expenditure in other countries. Results:Out of pocket as share of total health expenditure will be declined to 30.0% in 2015, total health expenditure as share of GDP will be 5.7% in 2015, and the annual growth rate of government health expenditure should not be less than 22.0%. Conclusion: Long term growth mechanism of government health input should be established and social financing source should be broadened to improve public financing gradually and further optimize the financing structure.
Keywords：Chinatotal health expenditureout-of-pocket paymentgovernment health expenditureprediction
Publication Date：2014-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：4( 10-13 )