The Prospective and Simulation on the Financing Amount of Basic Medical Insurance in Liaoning
GUAN Li
DONG Ye-jing
Abstract:Objective: Using system dynamics to provide prospective and simulation of double exponential smoothing on Basic Medical Insurance Fund and related indexes from 2013-2022 in Liaoning. Methods: Using the post testing to select the best value of αand projecting the whole procedure of forecast into the software of system dynamics to get the prospective result. Results: In ending of simulation, the increase of fund and other objects will reach about 2 times as much as those in 2013 , and out-of-pocket in total expenditure on health will be declined greatly. Conclusion: The economy of province is developing fast while Basic Medical Insurance is in relatively lower level.
Keywords:basic medical insurancetotal expenditure on healthexponential smoothingsystem dynamicsmodelingLiaoning
Publication Date:2014-01-01
Online Publishing Date:2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages:3( 29-31 )
Chinese Health Economics

Chinese Health Economics

PKUISTIC
ISSN:1003-0743
Year, Vol.(Issue):2014,(1)