Survival and Predictors of Death Among People Diagnosed with HIV/AIDS in Putuo District of Shanghai from 1999 to 2023
He Chenyu
Wei Wei
Liu Yan
Xie Yan
Luo Fei
Gu Xinlin
Abstract：OBJECTIVE To analyze the survival time of HIV/AIDS patients and its influencing factors in Putuo District of Shanghai from 1999 to 2023.METHODS Data were collected from the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System.To conduct a retrospective study,life table method was used to calculate the survival time,Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot the survival curve,and Cox proportional risk model was used to analyze the survival-related factors in HIV/AIDS patients.RESULTS The study included 1 227 cases of HIV/AIDS patients.The all-cause death mortality was 1.17/100 person-years,and the median survival time was 79.5(41.3～122.6)months.Non-aids-related deaths accounted for 59.6％ of the deaths.The cumulative survival probabilities of 1,3,5,10 and15 years after diagnosis were 95.9％,94.3％,93.6％,91.0％ and 87.4％,respectively.Multivariate Cox analysis showed that patients at age 50 and older at diagnosis(HR=7.74,95％CI:3.31～18.12),primary school education and below(HR=3.56,95％CI:1.20～10.57),and patients with no antiviral therapy(HR=11.42,95％CI:5.99～21.75)had a higher risk of death,while CD4T count＞350/μL(HR=0.28,95％CI:0.14～0.57)had a lower risk of death.CONCLUSION The main influencing factors of HIV/AIDS patients survival time in Putuo District of Shanghai from 1999 to 2023 were age at diagnosis,whether antiviral therapy was taken or not,and the first CD4+T count.Non-aids-related deaths account for the majority of deaths in HIV/AIDS patients.
Keywords：HIV/AIDSsurvival analysisinfluential factors
Publication Date：2025-12-10
Online Publishing Date：2026-03-17(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：5( 47-51 )