System Dynamics Simulation and Analysis of the Development of Green and Organic Agriculture and Animal Husbandry in Qinghai Province
MA Rui
CHEN Wen-lie
Abstract：[Objective/Meaning]To simulate the impact policy system of green development in agriculture and animal husbandry in Qinghai Province,analyze the various variables affected by government policies,and provide theoretical basis for forming new quality productivity of green organic agriculture and animal husbandry,improving the efficiency of production factor allocation,formulating policies,and enhancing effectiveness.[Method/Process]Using the system dynamics analysis method,a quantitative relationship model was constructed using Vensim PLE software to simulate the green development and policy system of agriculture and animal husbandry in Qinghai Province.[Results/Conclusions]Based on relevant data from the Qinghai Statistical Yearbook from 2018 to 2022 and empirical data from existing literature research,when the growth rates of 17 production factors were set to 1.02 or 0.98 in the system simulation process,when the compound growth rate of the green agriculture cumulative measurement mechanism was greater than 1,it resulted in a positive increase in the total grain output and total meat output of the year compared to the previous year;On the contrary,when the compound growth rate is less than 1,it leads to a negative increase in the total grain production and total meat production compared to the previous year.
Keywords：Qinghai Provincegreen development of agriculture and animal husbandrysystem dynamicsAnalogue Simulation
Publication Date：2025-02-28
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：11( 25-35 )