Measurement and driving factors analysis of tourism transportation carbon emissions in Fujian-Guangdong-Hainan coastal regions

ZHANG Jingyi; CAO Dehao; LIU Huaqiong

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1672-0032.2025.03.003

Abstract：To analyze the dynamic characteristics and driving mechanisms of tourism transportation carbon emissions in Fujian-Guangdong-Hainan coastal regions,based on the panel data of Fujian-Guangdong-Hainan coastal regions from 2012 to 2022,the carbon emissions of tourism transportation by four modes of transportation,namely road,railway,civil aviation and waterway,are calculated using the bottom-up approach,and their dynamic evolution trends are examined.Combining the Kaya identity and the logarithmic mean Divisia index(LMDI)decomposition method,evaluates the impact and contribution rates of six driving factors:tourist scale,tourism industry contribution,tourism consumption level,tourism transportation intensity,energy intensity,and energy structure.The results show that from 2012 to 2022,tourism transportation carbon emissions in Fujian-Guangdong-Hainan coastal regions initially increased and then decreased overall.Aviation is the primary source of tourism transportation carbon emissions,accounting for 82.00%of the total.Per capita carbon emissions from tourists decline annually,with an average annual growth rate of-13.80%,indicating that carbon emissions grow at a slower rate than tourist numbers.The main factors promoting tourism transportation carbon emissions are tourist scale,tourism industry contribution,energy intensity,and energy structure,with cumulative contribution rates of 91.88%,252.63%,356.79%,and 27.75%,respectively.The key factors inhibiting carbon emissions growth are tourism consumption level and tourism transportation intensity,with cumulative contribution rates of-87.01%and-542.04%,respectively.