An empirical study on the effect of industrial structure upgrading on employment under the"carbon peaking and carbon neutrality"policy:Data from energy enterprises in 27 provinces were taken as samples
GAO Yilin
LIN Yuanyuan
XIE Lizhi
Abstract：Based on panel data from 27 provinces in China from 2010 to 2022,this paper constructs a fixed-effects model with variable intercepts.Taking energy enterprises as the research object,it evaluates the impact of industrial structure optimization and upgrading on the total national employment,employment in the renewable energy sector,and employment in the traditional energy sector.The study further explores the effects of industrial structure upgrading on employment by examining the technological,economic,educational,and policy pathways in different regions,enterprises,and industries.The results show that:First,the upgrading of the industrial structure will promote an increase in total national employment and employment in the renewable energy sector.However,this change may negatively impact employment in the traditional energy sector.Second,the employment effects of industrial structure upgrading are complex and result from a multi-party game.The suppressive effects through technological and educational pathways are relatively weak,while the policy and economic pathways have a significant positive impact.Third,state-owned energy enterprises and supply enterprises significantly contribute to overall employment growth,while private energy enterprises significantly contribute to employment growth in the renewable energy sector.Therefore,the government needs to fully play its guiding role to enhance regional development connectivity and integrity,bridge development differences gradually,promote regional harmonious development,and fully leverage the positive externalities of technological progress and education to alleviate labor skill mismatches and labor market mismatches.
Keywords：industrial structure upgradingemploymentenergy enter-prises"carbon peaking and carbon neutrality"policy
Publication Date：2025-10-28
Online Publishing Date：2025-12-02(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：10( 40-49 )