Study on the nonlinear impact of energy structure transition on carbon emissions from thermal power generation:A perspective on technological advancements in thermal power
SUN Yi
TIAN Hongliang
ZHAO Liang
GUO Ning
ZHAO Juan
ZOU Shaohui
FAN Xiangbo
Abstract：From the perspective of technological advancements in thermal power generation,this study systematically explores the nonlinear impact of energy structure transition on carbon emissions from thermal power plants using a Panel Smooth Transition Regression(PSTR)model.The findings reveal that the effect of energy structure transition on carbon emissions from thermal power exhibits significant nonlinear characteristics,particularly showing a more pronounced reduction effect in regions with high coal consumption for power generation.Additionally,due to differences in energy endowments and levels of economic development across regions,the effectiveness of the transition varies significantly.Over time,the optimization of the energy structure and advancements in thermal power technology have led to a gradual weakening of the marginal emission reduction effects of the transition.Based on these insights,the study proposes policy recommendations,emphasizing the need to tailor energy transitions to local conditions,enhance innovation and dissemination of thermal power technologies,and promote the development of renewable energy to drive green energy transitions and ensure the sustainable development of the thermal power industry.
Keywords：PSTRenergy structure transitionthermal power carbon emissionsnonlinear impacttechnological advancement
Publication Date：2024-10-20
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：8( 68-75 )