Current situation of energy supply and demand and forecast of future coal supply gap in Shandong Province
Chen Qian
Li Hua
Abstract：In the new journey of building a modern strong province,facing resource exhaustion and rigid demand for energy,how to ensure the effective supply of coal resources and support the smooth transition of green and low-carbon energy transformation is the top priority of Shandong Province to implement the new strategy of energy security.This paper analyzes the current situation of energy supply and demand and coal production and transportation demand in Shandong Province in recent years,predicts the coal supply gap in 2025,2030 and 2035 by using ARIMA and Markov chain method,and predicts that the coal import volume in Shandong Province will continue to increase in the future period,and the coal supply pressure will remain for a long time.It is necessary to increase exploration and development,promote the construction of intelligent mines,promote the construction of reserve bases and logistics nodes,and effectively ensure the safe and effective supply of coal resources.
Keywords：energycoalsupply and demand forecastingintellectualization
Publication Date：2023-11-20
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：7( 4-10 )