Model of Transmission of Infectious Diseases Based on Traffic Network
ZHANG Yu
LIU Xinxin
CAI Chuanfeng
JIA Zhijuan
Abstract：In view of the huge impact of the complex transportation network on the transmission of infectious diseases,a dy?namic model for the transmission of infectious diseases in complex social traffic network is proposed based on Markov Chain model. In the real environment,the social traffic network topology is established,which is based on the road,high-speed rail,car and air traffic network as the starting point of the study of the transmission model of infectious diseases,and construct the infectious disease risk index model.This paper takes the ten years of new influenza virus infectious disease as an example,the number of infections in the number of severe cases in order to verify the standard was verified.The experimental results show that the calculation model of the spread of infectious diseases results and actual case data showed positive correlation,so the potential infection risk degree of the model for predicting infectious disease has certain research value.
Keywords：complex social traffic networkmarkov chaininfectious diseasesrisk index model
Publication Date：2017-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：5( 2359-2363 )