Prediction of Food Production Potential in Henan Province
WEI Xiuyu
Abstract：This paper analyzed the relationship between input and output of grain production in the new situation, scientifically predicted the future potential of grain output, looked for the main reasons constraining food increase in Henan, and then put forward policy proposals to promote the stable development of grain production in Henan. This paper used vector autoregression model to predict food production capacity,combined with the analysis of the potentials of low and middle yielding farm land alternation,new agricultural technologies application,varieties update and support capabilities enhancement, expected that the grain yield could reach 6 750 kg/ha,and proved that the yield output goal of about 65 billion kilograms by 2020 in Henan could be achieved.
Keywords：food productionpotential analysispredictionvector autoregression modelHenan province
Publication Date：2015-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2026-09-12(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：5( 46-49,132 )