The Test of One-step Sliding Earthquake Prediction and the Discussion of Earthquake Trend for the Taiwan Seismic Zone Based on Modeling of Trigonometric Series Fitting
XUE Ding
GAO Lixin
DING Fenghe
DAI Yong
Abstract：According to research results of the active blocks and seismic region and zone division,the paper extracted extreme earthquakes occurring in each semi-year of 1960-2015 by using BMM (Block Maximum Method) in the study unit of the Taiwan seismic region.Combing the seismic structure with its extreme earthquakes,these data had the consistent feature of statistical membership,and acted on the behalf of earthquake trend changes of the study unit.From the view of cyclic superposition,the paper considered the changing process of earthquake activity,,and fired the data by using trigonometric series model of the best leastsquare.On the bases of l-step sliding recursive prediction test of earthquakes of semi-year in 2015,the earthquake trend tendency had been discussed.
Keywords：Taiwan seismic regionBBM (Block Maximum Method)Best least-square fittingmodel of trigonometric seriesTest of one-step sliding earthquake predictionTendency discussion
Publication Date：2017-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：5( 17-21 )