Analysis and forecast of mortality of malignant tumor by time series in Zhongshan City
WU Jin-jun
SU Ru-hao
Abstract：Objective:To study the epidemiologic characteristic of mortality of malignant tumors in Zhongshan City.Method:Selecting the investigated datum of mortality of malignant tumor in Zhongshan City as sample uses SAS statistics software to analyse and forecast the mortality by time series.Results:Morlality of male malignant tumor and both male and female malignant tumour showed the risen trend from 1970 to 1989.The trend will be kept in future.Both will be separately risen to 121.05/105 and 83.92/105 in 2 000.Mortality of female malignant tumour will be kept in about 43.59/105 in 2000.Couclusion:Mortality of both male and female malignant tumor takes on the trend of diffirent change.The male showed risen trend;the female showed the fluctuation of non-trend random.Rising mortality of malignant tumor greatly threaden the crowd health.
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Publication Date：2001-01-01
Online Publishing Date：2025-08-15(First online date of this platform, not the publication date of the document)
Pages：3( 235-236,238 )